Expectation

The integral of a random variable with respect to the underlying probability measure.
Expectation

An expectation of a XX is the number

E[X]=ΩX(ω)dP(ω), \mathbb E[X]=\int_\Omega X(\omega)\,d\mathbb P(\omega),

provided XX is integrable, i.e. ΩXdP<\int_\Omega |X|\,d\mathbb P<\infty (so XX is an L1L^1 random variable; see ).

This definition uses the on the underlying ; expectation is the basic averaging operation underlying , , and many limit theorems.

Examples:

  • If XX takes values xkx_k with probabilities pkp_k (countably many), then E[X]=kxkpk\mathbb E[X]=\sum_k x_k p_k whenever kxkpk<\sum_k |x_k|p_k<\infty.
  • If XX is uniform on [0,1][0,1], then E[X]=01xdx=12\mathbb E[X]=\int_0^1 x\,dx=\tfrac12.