Theorem
Disintegration of a probability measure
Conditional probabilities on fibers of a map between standard Borel probability spaces.
Statement
Let be measurable between standard Borel spaces, let be a Borel probability on , and let . There is a probability kernel , unique for -almost every , such that almost everywhere and
for every bounded Borel . It is called the disintegration of over .
Conditional expectation
The function is a version of conditional expectation onto the sigma-algebra generated by . Work on Borel models before completing measures; the component measures can be singular with respect to , so they need not extend to every set in its completion simultaneously.
References
- Terence Tao, “254A, Lecture 9: Ergodicity”, Theorem 4 and Exercise 13.